Sep 09

Whoever Crosses the Line First Wins

Jackson Bend Forego Stakes Remote
Jackson Bend crosses the line first, is that so difficult to understand? (budmeister)

Like a good Friday night news dump, I thought I’d quietly start blogging again. When one doesn’t blog for awhile, the blog comeback starts to feel insurmountable. I’ve certainly made copious notes for multiple posts on “big issues” that have come up, but usually ended up ventilating some of those thoughts on Twitter. After a bout with Twitter crabbiness I’ve decided to bring my chat capital back here, to the land paragraphs. I haven’t abandoned Twitter, I’m just adjusting my outputs to more appropriate channels (or something like that… I miss blogging, OK?).

But back to that insurmountable return, one of the not-published posts was about the McKinsey report (pdf). Well, not so much about the report as some of the reaction, or potential reaction by industry executives. Watching a few minutes of US Open last night reminded me of a point I wanted to make. Page 25 in the McKinsey presentation deck is entitled “Existing fans feel racing is inaccessible to new fans due to its complexity” which included the factoid “19% of fans say they don’t bet because the types of bets you can make are too complicated.”

One of my pet peeves about racing is what I like to call the “can’t do attitude”, everything is a detractor or liability versus a selling point. “Racing is too hard to understand” is one of those fallacies. Whichever horse crosses the line first wins. Could it be more simple? An alien could land and figure out what’s going on. Making a win bet really doesn’t have a learning curve much beyond saying “$2 to win on [insert horse number].” Compare that to figuring out what’s going on in football, baseball or tennis. Those of us who grew up in the U.S. are indoctrinated into football and baseball but let’s talk about tennis. 40-love? Aces? And which lines are actually out of bounds? I have no clue, and it hasn’t hampered my ability to enjoy a little tennis every once and while. What’s more, it doesn’t seem like tennis is scrambling to dumb itself down in order attract more fans (although they do seem to be scrambling to create more players).

So what about racing? Just because a potential fan isn’t going to understand a trifecta part-wheel doesn’t mean all is lost, or worse, that we have to dumb everything down. Focus newbies on simple strategies, and make it easy for them to learn as the go (disclosure: I run a company trying to do just that! You probably knew that). Stop renaming races (I love you Distaff!) and start embracing and building on our strengths, not assuming what we have is “too hard.” Whoever crosses the line first wins. Try and make that more simple. You can’t.

Posted by dana on Sep 09 2011    
Filed Under: 2011

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Jun 25

Pride Plays 2011, the I Do Edition


Australian trainer Gai Waterhouse on Pink Stiletto Day (Pink Stiletto)

Darling, it’s that time of year again… pride weekend, and NO ONE is feeling more lucky than the gays! It’s time to make the commitment and say “I Do” to gay pride hunch plays!

I found a lot more than last year, but then again I got my act together a bit earlier. Best of luck, and no matter how it turns out, you look fabulous!

Saturday 25th

Arapahoe Park
R1: Rainbow Eddie (4th), The Buddy Plan (11th)
R2: Looking for Justice (5th)
R3: De Elegant Cartel (scratched)
R8: Quick Meeting (2nd), City Vow (6th)
R9: For Daddy (8th)

Arlington Park
R2: River Bear (2nd)
R4: Cruise (3rd)
R5: Fantastic Madame (7th)
R8: Boom Boom Charlie (11th)

Belmont Park
R6: Trix in the City (scratched)
R7: Viv’s Tiara (8th), Max’s Hotdog (9th)
R8: Midnight Billy (2nd), Sky Blue Pink (3rd) - omni!
R10: Queens or Better (3rd)

Calder
R2: Queen Drama (2nd)
R3: Nervous Nell (scratched - probably too nervous!)
R5: Rock with Me (3rd), Boss Lady (6th)
R7: Fabulous Francis (4th)
R8: Lucy’s Secret (scratched)
R12: Living Sassily (8th), Simply Elegant (11th), Princess for a Day (12th), One Proud Girl (winner!) $8.20

Camarero
R1: Frisky Heaven
R5: Papi Papi

Canterbury
R3: Breaking Barriers (5th)
R4: Yes He’s a Pistol (3rd), Accept the Kiss (5th), Silver Tuxedo (winner!) $4.80
R6: I Am Awesome (5th)
R8: Lookin at Larry (9th), Lady’s Gent (8th)
R9: I Shine Now (2nd)
R10: Chick’s Brief Case (4th)

Charles Town
R2: She’ll Fit (9th0, Klondike Lizzie (scratched), La Koppa Chica (scratched)
R3: Bring it on Sally (scratched)
R4: Lovin Colleen (scratched)
R7: My Snake Docta (7th), He’s a Hobby (4th)
R8: Vote Yes for Love (5th), Jack of Hearts (10th)

Churchill Downs
R1: Six Pack Abs (3rd)
R2: Cherry Included (5th), Dare We Dream (3rd)
R4: Where’s the Beef (6th)
R8: Wendy and Her Cats (10th)
R9: Marvel Gaye (winner!), Lohan (3nd), Afleeting Lady (2nd), Live and Love - Pride Trifecta! $436.80
R11: Proud and Fast (5th)

Colonial Downs
R1: Little Miss Macho (4th), Smilin and Dancin (6th)
R4: Comeback Papa (7th)
R6: Sally Oh Sally (scratched), Stylish Touch (10th)

Delaware Park
R2: Free Country (winner!) - $5
R10: Burnin Rubber (winner!) - $38!

Delta Downs
R1: Hez Tearin It Up (winner!) - $13
R4: Mi Special Lady (10th)
R5: Hesa Trickie Lad (2nd)
R6: Some Pride (3rd)
R9: Bang Bang Bang (winner!) - $25.20, Shazama Rama (scratched)

Emerald Downs
R4: Solex Sisters (9th), Bar Room Gal (winner!) - $13

Evangeline Downs
R5: Little Miss Romeo (8th)
R10: Way too High (3rd), Rebel Queen (7th)

Finger Lakes
R3: It’s Our Turn (2nd), Seekingvindication (5th)
R7: Midnight Chase (4th)
R8: Ruby Flame (4th)

Hastings
R1: Say Fabulous (winner!) - $10.30
R3: Lady Alex (5th)
R7: Dearest Princess (7th)

Hollywood Park
R2: Queenofcalifornia (2nd), Princess Tizzy (9th)
R7: Offlee Wild Boys (6th)
R9: Turn On the Pumps (4th)

Monmouth
R1: Disco Jenelle (3rd)
R6: Random Zing (4th)
R12: Courage to Be (scratched)
R12 bonus plays:
First timer exacta box: Itouch & Eze Does It (both scratched)
Out & Proud exacta box: Oh So Debonair (2nd) & Bold Intention (scratched)

Prairie Meadows
R3: A Lot of Mon (winner!) - $17.00
R8: Marco’s Fling (5th)

Woodbine
R2: Bell’s First Lad, Stylish Citizen (both scratched)

Sunday June 26th

Arlington
R4: Wild About Boys (6th)

Belmont:
R2: One Game Dame (6th)

Canterbury
R8: My Topper (6th)

Churchill Downs
R10: Royal Pride (5th)

Delta Downs
R2: Speed Bump Buddy (9th)
R8: Queen Toast

Lone Star
R4: B G Queen Legacy

Mountaineer
R3: I Come From Behind (3rd)
R9: Disco Indy
R10: Sissy Pants

Pleasanton
R3: Gary’s Got Rhythm (7th)
R6: Fear the Beard (2nd)

Woodbine
R1: The Bear Vow (2nd)

Posted by dana on Jun 25 2011    
Filed Under: 2011, Hunch Bet, :)

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Jun 20

Life At Ten Can’t Catch a Break

Poor Life At Ten. After last year’s disastrous Breeders’ Cup, she gets off to a slow start with two lackluster performances and just when it looks like she’s ready to make some noise Cornelio Velasquez pulls a Garrett Gomez and strangles the daylights out of her down the backstretch.

In the replay you’ll see that she gets off to a great start and then at 29 seconds he gets her in a hammer lock until about 56 seconds. One has to wonder what the stretch would have looked like if she would have been allowed to run more freely.

You may remember about Life At Ten that she does her best running when not restrained. Say for example in last year’s Ogden Phipps.

I think Cornelio is an underrated rider in general but admittedly I haven’t been paying close attention recently. Even if he is off his usual good form (and I’m not saying he is, I’m saying I don’t know if he is or not), I’ve never noticed him to be one to fight a front-runner. This had to be instructions from the barn, right? Right.

Pletcher from the NYRA post-race quotes press release:

She didn’t break well but she was able to recover and find a spot there pretty quickly. After that, she was in pretty good shape. The strategy, on paper we felt that Absinthe Minded and Awesome Maria would be laying one-two and Life At Ten would assume the garden spot. The way it broke, Cornelio [Velasquez] had to grab her [Life At Ten] a little bit to get that spot, and in retrospect it would have been better to go on, but he tried to execute the original game plan.

Well, it’s somewhat reassuring that they’re aware the plan didn’t work, but it must speak to their lack in confidence in Life At Ten as she’s shown the ability to rate behind speed and still win, such as last year’s Beldame.

At least they’re committed to running the rest of the year but if I were Candy DeBartolo, I would have moved her to another barn right after the Breeders’ Cup. On the bright side, we may catch a good price on her if/when things fall into place!

Posted by dana on Jun 20 2011    
Filed Under: 2011, Todd Pletcher, Cornelio Velazquez, Racing

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May 20

Rapture Hunch Plays

Greetings! No, I have not been neglecting GbG because I’ve been in rapture ready mode, but I did spend a few minutes looking to see if there were any interesting rapture hunch plays for tomorrow. As it turns, there are!

Arlington R11: Lead the Way
Churchill R10: How Far to Heaven
Delaware R4: Rose Away
Hollywood Park R9: Pack Your Bags
Monmouth Park R4: Freedom Express
Monmouth Park R10: Just Say Goodbye

Update: just like the Rapture, the Rapture Hunch Plays under performed. But, a jockey named Jesus did win the Preakness!

Stop by and say hi sometime!

Posted by dana on May 20 2011    
Filed Under: 2011, Handicapping

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Apr 12

2011 Kentucky Derby Random Top 10 Generator

It’s moved!

You can now meet all of your 2011 Kentucky Derby Top Ten Random Generating needs at Raceday 360. I’ll update the list as the official list updates.

I should have comments up on the R360 version in the next couple of days.

Posted by dana on Apr 12 2011    
Filed Under: 2011, Kentucky Derby

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